Prediction market intelligence powered by data.
Our algorithms scan thousands of contracts on Kalshi to find statistically mispriced bets. You get the signals. You make the trades.
Live Signal Feed
88,570
Contracts Analyzed
92.8%
Favourite Win Rate
+4.5%
Implied Statistical Edge
Based on 120-day historical analysis of Kalshi prediction markets
How it works
From raw data to actionable signals
Three steps between market data and actionable intelligence.
We scan the market
Ledion continuously scans thousands of contracts on Kalshi — so you don’t have to.
We find the edge
Our algorithms identify contracts where the favourite is statistically underpriced — based on data, not gut feel.
You get alerted
Real-time signals delivered to your inbox or Discord. You decide what to trade, on your own terms.
The Favourite-Longshot Bias is real
Bürgi, Deng & Whelan (2026) analyzed 88,000+ contracts on Kalshi and found that contracts priced 84–92¢ settle in favour of the "NO" side over 92% of the time — significantly more than their market-implied probability suggests.
This systematic mispricing creates a measurable statistical edge for disciplined traders.
Read the full analysisWin Rate by Price Bucket
Platform
Kalshi coverage
We scan thousands of contracts on Kalshi to find mispriced bets.
Kalshi
LivePricing
Simple, transparent pricing
Start free. Upgrade when you need real-time signals and custom alerts.
See the Edge
Free
Explore prediction market analytics
- Opportunity feed (15-min delay)
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- Research blog
Trade the Edge
Pro
Real-time intelligence for active traders
- Real-time opportunity feed
- Custom alerts (email + Discord)
- CSV export
- Multi-strategy analytics
- Priority support