Find mispriced prediction market contracts. Backed by 88,000 data points.
Academic research proves prediction markets have a systematic pricing bias. Ledion finds it in real-time so you can trade it.
Live Opportunity Feed
88,570
Contracts Analyzed
92.8%
Favourite Win Rate
+4.5%
Implied Statistical Edge
Based on 120-day historical analysis of Kalshi prediction markets
How it works
From raw data to trading signals
Three steps between market data and actionable intelligence.
We scan every market
Every 5 minutes, Ledion scans thousands of open prediction market contracts across all categories.
We find the edge
Our algorithms identify contracts where the favourite is statistically underpriced based on historical settlement data.
You trade the signal
Get real-time alerts when high-probability opportunities appear. You decide what to trade.
The Favourite-Longshot Bias is real
Bürgi, Deng & Whelan (2026) analyzed 88,000+ contracts on Kalshi and found that contracts priced 84–92¢ settle in favour of the "NO" side over 92% of the time — significantly more than their market-implied probability suggests.
This systematic mispricing creates a measurable statistical edge for disciplined traders.
Read the full analysisWin Rate by Price Bucket
Pricing
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Real-time signals for active traders
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